Guggenheim Macro Markets

Guggenheim Investments

Tune in to Macro Markets to hear the top minds of Guggenheim Investments offer timely analysis on financial market trends. Guests include portfolio managers, fixed income sector heads, members of the Macroeconomic and Investment Research Group, and more. read less
News

Episodes

Episode 68: Private Debt Update: Don’t Shy Away from Volatility
4d ago
Episode 68: Private Debt Update: Don’t Shy Away from Volatility
Joe McCurdy and Rusty Parks join Macro Markets to review the drivers of value in the $1.7 trillion private debt market and how today’s market uncertainty can lead to investment opportunitiesRelated Content:Second Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Relative value across the fixed-income market. Read Second Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Notes on Tariff TurbulenceUpdate on our macro and market outlook following announcement of new tariff and trade policies.Read Notes on Tariff TurbulenceMacro Markets Podcast Episode 67: Outlook and Strategy After the Tariff Gray Swan Steve Brown, CIO for Fixed Income, and Patricia Zobel, Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy, join Macro Markets to review the tariff-related paradigm shift in trade policy.Listen to Macro MarketsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author’s opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2025 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part of this material may be...
Episode 67: Outlook and Strategy After the Tariff Gray Swan
Apr 15 2025
Episode 67: Outlook and Strategy After the Tariff Gray Swan
Steve Brown, CIO for Fixed Income, and Patricia Zobel, Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy, join Macro Markets to review the tariff-related paradigm shift in trade policy, and update our macro outlook, risk assessment, and portfolio strategy as the market volatility unfolds.Related Content:Notes on Tariff TurbulenceUpdate on our macro and market outlook following announcement of new tariff and trade policies.Read Portfolio Strategy Commentary Don’t Let Policy Volatility Overshadow Market OpportunityLong-term signals are positive for fixed income. Read the CIO Outlook Macro Markets Podcast Episode 66: Asset-Backed Finance: The Evolution of a Portfolio Mainstay Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, discusses the role asset-backed finance plays in a diversified fixed-income portfolio.Listen to Macro Markets Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author’s opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered...
Episode 66: Asset-Backed Finance: The Evolution of a Portfolio Mainstay
Mar 27 2025
Episode 66: Asset-Backed Finance: The Evolution of a Portfolio Mainstay
Karthik Narayanan joins Macro Markets to discuss the evolution of asset-backed finance, the role it plays in a diversified fixed-income portfolio, and current market dynamics and opportunities.Related Content:Don’t Let Policy Volatility Overshadow Market OpportunityLong-term signals are positive for fixed income. Read CIO Outlook 1Q 2025 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookReframing tight spreads in leveraged credit. Read High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMacro Markets Podcast Episode 65: Macro and Micro Views on Credit Opportunities in a Shifting Economy Top-down and bottom-up perspectives on opportunity in the high yield and bank loan market. Listen to Macro Markets Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility. Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author’s opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the investment management businesses of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Securities offered through Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC.© 2025 Guggenheim Partners, LLC. No part...
Episode 65: Macro and Micro Views on Credit Opportunities in a Shifting Economy
Mar 10 2025
Episode 65: Macro and Micro Views on Credit Opportunities in a Shifting Economy
Strong fundamentals and positive market technicals should support credit performance in an environment characterized by high nominal yields, tight spreads, and elevated policy uncertainty. Maria Giraldo and Rebecca Elkins join Macro Markets to provide top down and bottom up perspectives on opportunity in the high yield and bank loan market. Related Insights:1Q 2025 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookReframing tight spreads in leveraged credit. Read High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMacro Markets Podcast Episode 64: The SMA Advantage—Institutional Strategies for Individual Investors Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, joins Macro Markets to explore separately managed accounts (SMAs), a structure that offers many potential benefits to individual investors. Bloch also shares his views on growth, inflation, and relative value in the market.Listen to Macro Markets1Q 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Entering 2025, bond yields remain attractive amid a resilient U.S. economy and uncertainty over policy shifts from the incoming administration. Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.  In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities.  High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.  Private debt investments are generally considered illiquid and not quoted on any exchange; thus they are difficult to value. The process of valuing investments for which reliable market quotations are not available is based on inherent uncertainties and may not be accurate. Further, the level of discretion used by an investment manager to value private debt securities could lead to conflicts of interest.This material is distributed for informational or educational purposes only and should not be considered a recommendation of any particular security, strategy, or investment product, or as investing advice of any kind. This material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. The content contained herein is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners or its subsidiaries. The author’s opinions are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. No part of this article may be reproduced in any form, or referred to in any other publication, without express written permission of Guggenheim Partners, LLC. Past performance is
Episode 64: The SMA Advantage—Institutional Strategies for Individual Investors
Feb 24 2025
Episode 64: The SMA Advantage—Institutional Strategies for Individual Investors
Adam Bloch, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, joins Macro Markets to discuss separately managed accounts (SMAs), a structure that offers many benefits to individual investors. Bloch also shares his views on growth, inflation, and relative value in the market.Related Insights:1Q 2025 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookReframing tight spreads in leveraged credit. Read High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookMacro Markets Podcast Episode 63: Post-Inauguration/Post-FOMC Analysis—Into the Known UnknownMatt Bush and Evan Serdensky discuss evolving economic and investing conditions, as well as recent A.I.-related volatility. Listen to Macro Markets Podcast1Q 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Entering 2025, bond yields remain attractive amid a resilient U.S. economy and uncertainty over policy shifts from the incoming administration. Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.SMA strategies discussed herein are available exclusively through third party financial professionals and are not offered directly to the public through Guggenheim Investments. SMA target characteristics and allocations are for illustrative purposes only. Individual account holdings and characteristics will vary depending on the size of an account, cash flows and account restrictions. Individual accounts within the same strategy may have portfolio characteristics and performance that differ from one another. This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Investment Risks. The strategies described herein may not be suitable for all investors. All investments have inherent risks. There is no guarantee the manager will be able to implement investment strategies successfully or achieve investment objectives. • The market value of fixed income securities will change in response to interest rate changes and market conditions among other things. In general, bond prices rise when interest rates fall and vice versa. • High yield securities present more liquidity and credit risk than investment grade bonds and may be
Episode 63: Post-Inauguration/Post-FOMC Analysis—Into the Known Unknown
Feb 4 2025
Episode 63: Post-Inauguration/Post-FOMC Analysis—Into the Known Unknown
The new administration has hit the ground running, the Fed held rates steady at its last policy meeting, and markets have been volatile. Matt Bush, our U.S. economist, and Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, join Macro Markets to discuss evolving economic and investing conditions, as well as recent A-.I.-related volatility.Related Insights:10 Macro Themes for 202510 trends that will shape credit markets in 2025. Read 10 Macro ThemesMacro Markets Podcast Episode 62: 10 Macro Themes for 2025 (and a Quick Fed Update)Patricia Zobel, Head of our Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy Group joins Macro Markets to discuss our 10 Macro Themes likely to shape monetary policy and investment performance this year. Listen to Macro Markets EpisodeFirst Quarter 2025 Fixed-Income Sector Views Entering 2025, bond yields remain attractive amid a resilient U.S. economy and uncertainty over policy shifts from the incoming administration. Learn where we’re finding value.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Private Investments, LLC, Guggenheim Wealth Solutions, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 63850
Episode 62: 10 Macro Themes for 2025 (and a Quick Fed Update)
Jan 23 2025
Episode 62: 10 Macro Themes for 2025 (and a Quick Fed Update)
Patricia Zobel, Head of our Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy Group, joins Macro Markets to discuss the top 10 Macro Themes we believe will shape monetary policy and investment performance this year. She also discusses December economic data releases, the incoming Trump administration, and the future path of Fed policy.10 Macro Themes for 202510 trends that will shape credit markets in 2025. Read 10 Macro Themes1Q25 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsPlanning begins now for Life and Annuity companies.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsThe Power of Private Credit in Fixed-Income PortfoliosDina DiLorenzo, President of Guggenheim Investments, joins CNBC to discuss opportunities across private credit and innovative new products to meet clients’ evolving needs.Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Wealth Solutions, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Private Investments, LLC.SP 63613
Episode 61: Fixed-Income Investing in 2025—the CIO’s Playbook in a Time of Change
Dec 23 2024
Episode 61: Fixed-Income Investing in 2025—the CIO’s Playbook in a Time of Change
Anne Walsh, Chief Investment Officer for Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Macro Markets after the Fed’s December rate cut to discuss her 2025 economic outlook, and how she navigates heightened uncertainty amid potentially sweeping changes in government policies that could significantly affect economic growth, inflation, and the outlook for certain sectors. Related Content: 4Q24 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsA good time for active fixed-income management. Read Fixed-Income Sector Views 4Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookEffects of rate cuts on high yield bonds may be mixed. Read High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookCompanies with Access to Capital are Doing Well…and That is Where We Are Investing Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Fox Business to discuss her outlook for bonds in an election year and beyond. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.Investors in asset-backed securities ("ABS"), including mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), and collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions...
Episode 60: Post-FOMC & Post-Election Analysis and Outlook
Nov 13 2024
Episode 60: Post-FOMC & Post-Election Analysis and Outlook
Steve Brown, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income, joins Macro Markets to discuss portfolio strategy and our outlook following the  U.S. election and the Fed’s most recent rate cut.Related Content: 4Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookEffects of rate cuts on high yield bonds may be mixed. 3Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Companies with Access to Capital are Doing Well…and That is Where We Are Investing Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Fox Business to discuss her outlook for bonds in an election year and beyond Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.Investors in asset-backed securities ("ABS"), including mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), and collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding,
Episode 59: Finding Value Now in ABS, MBS, and CLOs (Plus Listener Mail)
Oct 29 2024
Episode 59: Finding Value Now in ABS, MBS, and CLOs (Plus Listener Mail)
Where can investors find attractive yield while mitigating risk in the current environment? Karthik Narayanan, Head of Structured Credit, joins Macro Markets to discuss what makes the sector an important component of our actively managed fixed-income portfolios and where we are finding value now.4Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookEffects of rate cuts on high yield bonds may be mixed. Read High Yield and Bank Loan Outlook3Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro ThemesCompanies with Access to Capital are Doing Well…and That is Where We Are InvestingAnne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Fox Business to discuss her outlook for bonds in an election year and beyond Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.Investors in asset-backed securities ("ABS"), including mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), and collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”), generally receive payments that are part interest and part return of principal. These payments may vary based on the rate loans are repaid. Some asset-backed securities may have structures that make their reaction to interest rates and other factors difficult to predict, making their prices volatile and they are subject to liquidity and valuation risk. CLOs bear similar risks to investing in loans directly, such as credit, interest rate, counterparty, prepayment, liquidity, and valuation risks. Loans are often below investment grade, may be unrated, and typically offer a fixed or floating interest rate.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such...
Episode 58: What the Rates Market is Telling Us
Oct 16 2024
Episode 58: What the Rates Market is Telling Us
Tad Nygren, Head of Governments and Agencies, joins the podcast to offer insights on the market’s reaction to the Fed’s recent rate cut, economic data releases, and what may come next. Related Content:4Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookEffects of rate cuts on high yield bonds may be mixed.High Yield and Bank Loan Outlook3Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro ThemesHigher Quality Fixed Income is ‘the Place to Be’Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss her outlook for credit markets during a period of political instability. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 62773
Episode 57: Post-FOMC Action Plan…and Other Macro Themes
Sep 26 2024
Episode 57: Post-FOMC Action Plan…and Other Macro Themes
U.S. Economist Matt Bush and Investment Strategist Maria Giraldo discuss the macro and market implications of the Fed’s decision to cut interest rates. They also provide commentary on the latest issue of Quarterly Macro Themes.Related Content:3Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro Themes3Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookRelatively low distress ratios suggest manageable default rates down the road. High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookHigher Quality Fixed Income is ‘the Place to Be’Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss her outlook for credit markets during a period of political instability. Watch VideoInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. In general, the value of a fixed-income security falls when interest rates rise and rises when interest rates fall. Longer term bonds are more sensitive to interest rate changes and subject to greater volatility than those with shorter maturities. High yield and unrated debt securities are at a greater risk of default than investment grade bonds and may be less liquid, which may increase volatility.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 62634
Episode 56: Bond Market Insights from a Fed Insider
Aug 6 2024
Episode 56: Bond Market Insights from a Fed Insider
Patricia Zobel, Head of Macroeconomic Research and Market Strategy, updates our outlook following the strong market response to the July FOMC decision and jobs report. She also draws from her experience with the Fed’s System Open Market Account, one of its most critical operating functions, to share insights on the Fed’s balance sheet management.Related Content:3Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookRelatively low distress ratios suggest manageable default rates down the road. High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookHigher Quality Fixed Income is ‘the Place to Be’Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss her outlook for credit markets during a period of political instability. Watch Video2Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro ThemesInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 62173
Episode 55: Municipal Bonds for the Long Run…and a Bond-Friendly CPI Update
Jul 15 2024
Episode 55: Municipal Bonds for the Long Run…and a Bond-Friendly CPI Update
Allen Li, Head of our Municipal Bond Sector Team, reviews trends, opportunities, and idiosyncratic risk in municipal bonds. And U.S. Economist Matt Bush discusses the implications of the soft June CPI release.Related Content:2Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro Themes2Q24 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsBalancing attractive yields and tight spreads.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsThe Economic Cycle Isn’t Dead, Merely Delayed…And That’s Good for BondsNavigating an economic cycle where old patterns don’t seem to apply. Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 61892
Episode 54: Make Room for High Yield
Jun 14 2024
Episode 54: Make Room for High Yield
Sporting historically attractive yields and relatively healthy credit fundamentals, high yield bonds offer a compelling entry point. Dan Montegari, Head of Research for our Corporate Credit team, and John Walsh, Head of High Yield Trading, discuss credit spreads, default rates, market technicals, and other factors driving their team’s constructive views on risk and opportunity in leveraged credit. Related Content:2Q24 High Yield and Bank Loan OutlookA time for nimble credit selection.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan Outlook2Q24 Corporate Credit Quarterly InsightsMarket and portfolio update from our Corporate Credit team.Read Corporate Credit Quarterly Insights2Q24 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsBalancing attractive yields and tight spreads.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 61658
Episode 53: The Wide Opportunity Set in Bonds and Asymmetric Future Fed Policy
May 20 2024
Episode 53: The Wide Opportunity Set in Bonds and Asymmetric Future Fed Policy
It’s been 10 months since the Fed’s last rate hike, and Evan Serdensky, Portfolio Manager on our Total Return team, and Matt Bush, our U.S. Economist, join Macro Markets to discuss what’s next for the economy and markets. Related Insights:The Economic Cycle Isn’t Dead, Merely Delayed…And That’s Good for BondsNavigating an economic cycle where old patterns don’t seem to apply.Read CIO Commentary“This Is a Good Time for Credit”Anne Walsh, CIO of Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, talks to Bloomberg TV at the Milken Institute Global Conference about why the Fed’s policy pause is good for fixed-income investors.Watch VideoLearning from Turning Points in Monetary PolicyThe case for moving into higher-quality fixed income (and out of money markets and equities) while the Fed is paused and a head of coming rate cuts.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 61466
Episode 52: Fixed-Income Investing for Insurance Companies (and Listener Mail)
May 6 2024
Episode 52: Fixed-Income Investing for Insurance Companies (and Listener Mail)
Jamie Crapanzano, a member of our insurance portfolio management team, joins the podcast to discuss the distinctive aspects of fixed-income management for insurance companies and provide an update on bond market relative value. Related Insights:1Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro Themes2024 Election Uncertainty Could Drive Fixed-Income OutperformanceRising economic policy and geopolitical uncertainty may favor higher quality fixed income in this election year.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryLearning from Turning Points in Monetary PolicyThe Case for Moving Into Higher Quality Fixed Income (and out of Money Markets and Equities) While the Fed Is Paused… and Ahead of Coming Rate Cuts.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 61234
Episode 51: What's Holding Up Inflation…And Other Macro Themes
Apr 10 2024
Episode 51: What's Holding Up Inflation…And Other Macro Themes
Matt Bush, Guggenheim Investments’ U.S. Economist, and Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, join the Macro Markets podcast to discuss our newly published Quarterly Macro Themes for 1Q 2024 and provide an update to our baseline views on the economy. Related Insights:1Q24 Quarterly Macro ThemesResearch spotlight on what’s next.Read Quarterly Macro Themes2024 Election Uncertainty Could Drive Fixed-Income OutperformanceRising economic policy and geopolitical uncertainty may favor higher quality fixed income in this election year.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryLearning from Turning Points in Monetary PolicyThe Case for Moving Into Higher Quality Fixed Income (and out of Money Markets and Equities) While the Fed Is Paused… and Ahead of Coming Rate Cuts.Read Portfolio Strategy CommentaryInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC, and Guggenheim Partners India Management.SP 60910
Episode 50: Investing in Private Debt
Mar 25 2024
Episode 50: Investing in Private Debt
Private debt is one of the fastest growing sectors in the capital markets, and perhaps one of the most misunderstood. Joe McCurdy, Head of Origination on our Private Debt team, joins Macro Markets to explain how the sector has grown to be a robust capital option to banks, broadly syndicated loans, and bonds. Tune in (or read the transcript!) for his take on the investment opportunity and risks right now and his outlook for the sector. Related Content:1Q24 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting as the Fed prepares to cut rates.Read Fixed-Income Sector Views“An Attractive Time to Be a Fixed-Income Investor”Steve Brown, CIO for Fixed Income, Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, joins Bloomberg TV to discuss the latest data and his outlook for bonds.Watch Video1Q24 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookImplications for credit investors.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 60748
Episode 49: Evaluating Investment-Grade Corporates (and Listener Mail)
Mar 11 2024
Episode 49: Evaluating Investment-Grade Corporates (and Listener Mail)
Justin Takata, Head of our Investment-Grade Sector Team, and Maria Giraldo, Investment Strategist, provide technical and fundamental analysis of the sector, as well as where they are seeing risk and opportunity. We also answer listener mail.Related Content:1Q24 Fixed-Income Sector ViewsInvesting as the Fed prepares to cut rates.Read Fixed-Income Sector ViewsLearning from Turning Points in Monetary PolicyThe case for moving into higher quality fixed income (and out of money markets and equities) while the Fed is paused… and ahead of coming rate cuts. Read Portfolio Strategy Article1Q24 High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookImplications for credit investors.Read High-Yield and Bank Loan OutlookInvesting involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.This material is not intended as a recommendation or as investment advice of any kind, including in connection with rollovers, transfers, and distributions. Such material is not provided in a fiduciary capacity, may not be relied upon for or in connection with the making of investment decisions, and does not constitute a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities. All content has been provided for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended to be and should not be construed as legal or tax advice and/or a legal opinion. Always consult a financial, tax and/or legal professional regarding your specific situation.This material contains opinions of the author or speaker, but not necessarily those of Guggenheim Partners, LLC or its subsidiaries. The opinions contained herein are subject to change without notice. Forward-looking statements, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary and non-proprietary research and other sources. Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but are not assured as to accuracy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. There is neither representation nor warranty as to the current accuracy of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information.Guggenheim Investments represents the following affiliated investment management businesses: Guggenheim Partners Investment Management, LLC, Security Investors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Distributors, LLC, Guggenheim Funds Investment Advisors, LLC, Guggenheim Corporate Funding, LLC, Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited, Guggenheim Partners Japan Limited, and GS GAMMA Advisors, LLC.SP 60632